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March 19, 2026physics.geo-phcs.AIAdvanced

Improving moment tensor solutions under Earth structure uncertainty with simulation-based inference

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This paper addresses a fundamental problem in earthquake analysis: traditional methods for determining earthquake characteristics (moment tensor solutions) make oversimplified assumptions about measurement uncertainties caused by incomplete knowledge of Earth's structure. The researchers introduce a machine learning technique called simulation-based inference that can better account for these complex, non-linear uncertainties without making restrictive assumptions, leading to more accurate and reliable earthquake source estimates.

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physics.geo-ph, cs.AI

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Bayesian inferenceSeismologyMachine learningUncertainty quantificationFull-waveform inversionSimulation-based inferenceDeep learningEarthquake moment tensor